Goldman Sachs: "According to our basic forecast, the tanker freight will drop slightly in the next few years, but if the diversion of tankers in the Red Sea and Russia ends, the tanker freight will further drop by 30%."The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)Wall Street consultants expect the deal-making business to heat up in the Trump era. Wall Street M&A consultants said that the expected regulatory relaxation will promote M&A activities and initial public offerings in the coming year, and companies are regaining the transaction manual. Christina Minnis, head of global credit financing and global acquisitions at Goldman Sachs, said that given Donald Trump's policy commitments during the presidential campaign, "I think the outside world may think that M&A activities in the United States may be slightly strengthened."
Hezbollah in Lebanon said that it hoped that Syria would firmly resist Israel. Hezbollah in Lebanon issued a statement on the 10th local time, strongly condemning the continued invasion of Syrian territory by Israeli troops and destroying Syria's military combat capability, calling it a dangerous aggression. The statement pointed out that the UN Security Council, the international community and Arab countries have the responsibility to oppose and stop these Israeli actions and protect the Syrian people at this sensitive and crucial historical moment. Hezbollah in Lebanon also expressed its hope to see Syria stabilize, resolutely resist Israel and prevent foreign interference. (CCTV)Three-way funds actively increased their positions. The liquidity of the A-share market is abundant. Since this round of market, the liquidity of the market has been abundant, and the turnover has reached a number of records. The active transaction in the A-share market is inseparable from the continuous inflow of incremental funds. The data shows that since September 24, the financing balance in the A-share market has increased by nearly 500 billion yuan, the net inflow of equity ETFs has exceeded 220 billion yuan, and the repurchase amount has exceeded 24 billion yuan. Analysts said that incremental funds may accelerate the flow into the A-share market under the expectation of positive policies and economic recovery. (CSI)The New Zealand dollar just hit the 0.5800 mark against the US dollar, and the latest report was 0.5800, down 1.08% in the day.
US Department of Defense: the State Council approved the sale of vehicle maintenance equipment to Kuwait, with an estimated value of $300 million.The belief of high dividend has made a comeback. The dividend-themed ETF "gained weight". Recently, the dividend-themed ETF "gained good news frequently". The fund size of Huatai Bairui Dividend ETF and Huatai Bairui Dividend Low Wave ETF, the two largest dividend theme ETFs in the whole market, exceeded the 20 billion yuan and 10 billion yuan mark respectively. Huatai Berry dividend ETF has become the first dividend-themed ETF with a scale of 20 billion in the whole market. In recent years, dividend assets have attracted market attention, and the scale of dividend-themed ETF funds has doubled this year, and it has now exceeded 84 billion yuan. The institution believes that non-bank finance, real estate chain and domestic demand expansion related sectors are expected to have relative returns in the near future, and the investment sentiment in pro-cyclical sectors at the end of the year may improve, the market style may be more balanced, and dividend assets still have the value of bottom allocation. (china securities journal)We are full of confidence in the US economy, said Blackstone's head of private equity in North America.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14